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Batnick calculates that in those three instances in , and , it took between 10 and 20 months for this portfolio to recover back to its peak level.
This is perhaps comforting, if not terribly surprising. Any investment discipline that triggers a move to take advantage of steep underperformance in one asset classes tends to be rewarded over time.
And rebalancing after big declines in a blended-asset portfolio has generally been about buying nasty breaks in stock indexes. On a more opportunistic, shorter-term basis, strategist Terry Gardner of C.
Goldman Sachs strategists last week sounded a cautious note on this front last week with regard to the present market skid.
So perhaps the traditional asset mix will get less help over time from bond yields squeezing lower in tough times barring a move to negative yields, which would create a whole other set of issues.
Still, bonds can still serve the role as cushion against equity losses. The entire issue of rebalancing is hardly just an academic issue.
Of course, to the extent that this mechanical reallocation is timed to the quarter's end, it means one short-term tailwind for the rebound rally has just about abated, as the market bounce leaves the indexes less stretched and investors have celebrated fresh trillions of dollars in support from the Federal Reserve and Congress.
Strategist Tony Dwyer of Canaccord Genuity, who's been waiting for a retest of last week's low to get more aggressively positioned, noted Friday, "Over coming days, the market will not be as oversold, the pension rebalancing will be done, and the bulk of monetary and fiscal stimulus will have been announced.
While those factors could present a test of the immediate resilience of the market's attempted comeback, they don't much alter the case for long-term investors to take what the market has served up with its swift retrenchment this month.
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